In a move that would rattle even the most cynical Washington insiders, President Trump seems to have scored what appears to be a major diplomatic triumph—at least, that’s what the White House is saying. Promises have been made about an impending deal with Iran, a country usually not mentioned in the same sentence as “peaceful.” The proposed agreement would halt Iran’s nuclear ambitions and ensure that the Strait of Hormuz is reopened, a significant win for global oil markets.

However, as with much of this administration’s dealings, the devil—or should we say, the ayatollah—is in the details. While President Trump is all set to pop the proverbial cork, Iranian officials seem to be singing a different tune. They claim that the framework is still being finalized, suggesting that this deal might not be as locked and loaded as initially thought. For those keeping score, it’s a game of diplomatic chicken where the goalposts may or may not be cemented in place.

Diving into the components of the proposed deal reveals some intriguing elements. The idea is to destroy and remove all nuclear materials, a bold plan if ever there was one. Playboy theorists in diplomatic circles must be chuckling at the notion of Iran willingly dismantling its nuclear project. Yet, here we are, listening to Trump asserting that no sanctions will be lifted until there’s compliance—a clear-cut performance-based strategy. The agreement also seeks to put an end to Iran’s funding of terrorist groups. In a world where fairy tales come true, this sounds magnificent.

While the intricacies of the Iran deal are captivating enough, a broader picture emerges. The former Deputy National Security Adviser, KT McFarland, highlights that this could reshape regional alliances. President Trump has his eyes on the larger prize—peace in the Middle East. With the potential involvement of Gulf Arab nations like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and others, there’s talk of expanding the Abraham Accords. Adding Iran into this mix post-deal might sound like a headline from The Onion, but stranger things have happened in politics.

All this juicy speculation raises eyebrows, and not just out of skepticism. An alliance against Iran would isolate the country economically and politically, keeping a close watch on finances and diminishing its regional influence. It’s a tectonic shift in Middle Eastern dynamics, or so it would seem. Yet, anyone with a lick of sense knows to hang back and see if actions follow words. If realized, this could mark a generational achievement for Trump, an accomplishment that his critics might have to begrudgingly acknowledge. So, hold onto your hats and let’s see if Trump’s high-stakes gamble with Iran hits the jackpot or goes bust.