Minnesota’s Healthcare Experiment Backfires: Costs Soar as Enrollment Skyrockets

Minnesota quietly opened its state-run MinnesotaCare program to people here without legal status at the start of 2025, a move driven by progressive lawmakers who promised compassion without fully explaining the cost. That policy choice has rapidly become a case study in how well-meaning experiments can explode into fiscal headaches when enrollment isn’t tightly controlled or honestly projected.

State officials and reporters now confirm what Minnesotans feared: enrollment of people identified as undocumented surged far beyond the rosy estimates offered in committee hearings, with state data showing roughly 17,396 people signing up in the program’s opening months. Republican lawmakers warn that those numbers are nearly triple earlier projections and rightly argue that surges like this deserve scrutiny before we cut essential services for veterans, seniors, and disabled residents.

House Republicans have done the math the public deserves to see, pointing out an average cost figure of roughly $7,000 per enrollee and a tab that already tops $100 million this fiscal year — money that comes entirely from Minnesota taxpayers, not the federal government. That is not an abstract policy debate; those are real dollars that could shore up nursing homes, bolster mental-health care, or patch more urgent holes in our statewide budget.

The administration has tried to soothe nerves by saying it’s early days — noting that only a fraction of enrollees had filed claims in the first quarter and that paid claims so far remain small — but “too early” is not a plan when state budgets are on the line. Voters deserve transparent, conservative stewardship that balances compassion with commonsense limits and prevents program creep that incentivizes more unplanned enrollment.

At the same time, an independent report looking at Somali households in Minnesota has fueled a separate debate about immigrant integration and the strain on welfare programs, finding that a very high share of Somali-headed households rely on at least one means-tested benefit. Conservatives who talk about assimilation and responsibility are not attacking people; we are demanding outcomes — education, English fluency, steady work — that allow new arrivals to stand on their own and stop draining already stretched public services.

The political fallout is already real: legislators in St. Paul have moved to roll back adult coverage for undocumented residents as part of a broader budget compromise, a tacit admission that the original policy was rushed and fiscally irresponsible. Hardworking Minnesotans expect their leaders to protect taxpayers first, enforce borders sensibly, and fix immigration and integration problems before writing open-ended checks that future generations will be forced to pay.

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Keith Jacobs

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